據(jù)彭博社4月15日?qǐng)?bào)道，IEA表示，今年全球石油需求將創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄地暴跌9%，近10年的需求增長(zhǎng)將在2020年被抹去，屆時(shí)石油日消費(fèi)量將下降900多萬(wàn)桶。4月份將受到最嚴(yán)重的打擊，燃料消費(fèi)量將減少近三分之一，降至1995年以來(lái)的最低水平。盡管歐佩克及其合作伙伴上周末達(dá)成減產(chǎn)協(xié)議，將在下月實(shí)現(xiàn)前所未有的減產(chǎn)規(guī)模，但剩余的石油儲(chǔ)備可能在今年年中耗盡。

需求的崩潰正促使供應(yīng)出現(xiàn)大幅回調(diào)。沙特、俄羅斯和歐佩克聯(lián)盟的其他石油輸出國(guó)宣布，他們將在未來(lái)兩個(gè)月內(nèi)將日產(chǎn)量削減近1000萬(wàn)桶。國(guó)際能源署表示，這應(yīng)該有助于將石油行業(yè)從比目前面臨的更嚴(yán)重形勢(shì)的邊緣拉回來(lái)。

據(jù)該機(jī)構(gòu)稱，盡管歐佩克+做出了努力，但今年上半年全球石油庫(kù)存仍將以每天1200萬(wàn)桶的速度增加。報(bào)告稱，未來(lái)幾周，石油供應(yīng)過(guò)?？赡軙?huì)壓垮石油行業(yè)的物流設(shè)施——船舶、管道和儲(chǔ)油罐。盡管沙特表示，IEA將詳細(xì)說(shuō)明歐佩克和G20集團(tuán)其它產(chǎn)油國(guó)減產(chǎn)的貢獻(xiàn)，但這些貢獻(xiàn)仍在分析之中。

洪偉立 摘譯自 彭博社

原文如下：

Oil Glut May Overwhelm Global Storage Tanks Within Weeks

Global oil demand will plunge by a record 9% this year due to coronavirus lockdowns, thwarting efforts by OPEC+ to contain the resulting glut of crude, the International Energy Agency said.

A decade of demand growth will be wiped out in 2020, when consumption will slump by just over 9 million barrels a day, the agency said in its monthly report. April will suffer the hardest hit, with fuel use contracting by almost a third to the lowest level since 1995.

While production cuts agreed the OPEC cartel and its partners at the weekend will bring about an unprecedented pullback in supply next month, facilities for storing the remaining surplus could be exhausted by the middle of the year.

The collapse in demand is prompting a similarly sharp pullback in supply.

Saudi Arabia, Russia and other exporter in the OPEC+ coalition announced that they will collectively slash output by just under 10 million barrels a day over the next two months. This “should help bring the oil industry back from the brink of an even more serious situation than it currently faces,” the IEA said.

Despite the efforts of OPEC+, global inventories will still accumulate by 12 million barrels a day in the first half of the year, according to the agency. The glut “threatens to overwhelm the logistics of the oil industry – ships, pipelines and storage tanks – in the coming weeks,” it warned.

While Riyadh said that the IEA would detail contribution to the OPEC+ production cuts from other producers in the Group of 20 nations, the report published on Wednesday said these are still being worked out.