據能源之聲6月1日報道，據一位市場分析師表示，英國海域的海底項目活動有望在明年和2022年恢復。

雷斯塔能源（Rystad Energy）資深油田服務分析師Henning Bjorvik表示，根據現有發現，英國海域可能出現30次海底回接，以每桶30美元的油價計算，這可能具有商業價值。

海底采油樹訂單是貝克休斯（Baker Hughes）等一級承包商的一項關鍵績效指標，預計今年全球降到2016年水平，這是世紀之交以來的最低水平，不到100個。

比約克維克（Bjorvik）表示，由于油價暴跌，推動這些訂單的FPSO(浮式生產、儲存和卸載)項目，如Equinor在英國水域的羅斯班克(Rosebank)項目，已被“推出”，并“進入管道”。

Bjorvik先生在海底博覽會網絡研討會上發表講話時稱，實際上，2016年是自世紀之交以來我們獲得的海底樹木數量最少的一年。因此，四年后我們已經重新審視這些數字，實際上是非常令人恐懼的。

但是，從全球范圍來看，預計到2022年訂單將恢復到“更舒適的水平”，而巴西和圭亞那仍然是“熱點”。

英國可能不久也會恢復服務，盡管預計只有少數幾個國家會在今年恢復服務。

Bjorvik先生補充道，從我們在英國看到的所有發現中，實際上有32個項目的收支平衡低于30美元，其中有30個是海底連接項目。因此，在這32項中，有30項是海底回接，我們在英國將其歸類為低風險，因此仍然有希望在2021年和2022年在英國方面恢復海底回接項目。

郝芬 譯自 能源之聲

原文如下：

‘Hope’ for return of UK subsea projects in 2021 says analyst

There is “hope” for a return of subsea project activity in UK waters next year and in 2022, a market analyst has said.

Henning Bjorvik, senior oilfield service analyst at Rystad Energy, said there is potential for 30 subsea tiebacks in UK waters based on discoveries available, which could be commercial at a $30 a barrel oil price.

It comes as subsea xmas tree orders, a key performance metric for Tier 1 contractors like Baker Hughes, is expected to drop back to 2016 levels globally this year, the lowest since the turn of the century, at less than 100.

FPSO (floating production, storage and offloading) projects which drive these orders, such as Equinor’s Rosebank in UK waters, have been “pushed out” and “down the pipeline” Mr Bjorvik said, due to the oil price crash.

Speaking at a Subsea Expo Webinar, Mr Bjorvik said: “2016 is actually the lowest number of subsea trees we’ve seen being awarded since the turn of the century.

“So it is actually quite scary to see we’re now on track to revisit those numbers already after four years.”

However, looking globally, orders are expected to return to “more comfortable levels” by 2022, with “hot spots” remaining in Brazil and Guyana.

The UK may also see a return to service before long, although only a handful are expected to proceed this year.

Mr Bjorvik added: “From all the discoveries we see in the UK there are actually 32 projects which are below a breakeven on $30, and out of this, 30 are subsea tieback projects.

“So 30 out of these 32 are subsea tiebacks, what we class as low-risk in the UK so still there is hope for subsea tieback projects to come back in 2021 and 2022 on the UK side.”