阿拉伯聯合酋長國能源部長表示，一些主要原油供應國采取的石油產量限制措施將很快使油價恢復“正常”。

阿聯酋的Suhail Al Mazrouei在周一的電話會議上表示，3月和4月初，當市場因疫情打壓需求而崩潰時，原油價格可能再度升至每桶40美元的想法是"一個夢"。那是在歐佩克聯盟同意前所未有的減產之前。

Mazrouei在大西洋理事會(Atlantic Council)主持的電話會議上表示，油價可能在一到兩年內回到"正常"水準，因減產幅度接近每日1,000萬桶，將市場過剩的原油擠出市場。

不過他說，油價走勢在很大程度上將取決于第二輪疫情是否會迫使經濟體再次陷入停滯。

我們是否會迎來第二波被疫情襲擊需求下降的浪潮?””他說。“我希望不是。我希望我們不會限制旅行，我們至少會回到合理的消費水平。信不信由你，現在我們的消費又回到了2013年的水平。

Mazrouei沒有具體說明他所說的“正常”價格是多少價格。不過，基準布倫特原油去年的平均價格約為每桶64美元。歐佩克和產油國在4月份就減產達成協議，以應對疫情的影響，本月又將減產延長至7月份。

以沙特阿拉伯和俄羅斯為首的歐佩克旨在支撐油價的上漲。自4月底以來，布倫特原油價格已上漲逾一倍，達到每桶40美元左右，將今年以來的跌幅縮小至40%。Mazrouei說，要想繼續取得成功，所有歐佩克成員國必須遵守產量配額，而其他供應商必須避免過快恢復產量。

他表示，OPEC+協議有效地建立了一個比石油輸出國組織(OPEC，簡稱:歐佩克)更大的"永久"國家集團，將協同管理原油市場。

趙斌 翻譯自 世界原油

原文如下：

UAE sees oil prices returning to ‘normal’ on OPEC+ deal

Oil-production limits adopted by a group of major crude suppliers will soon bring prices back to “normal,” according to the energy minister of the United Arab Emirates.

When markets were collapsing as the coronavirus pandemic crushed demand in March and early April, the idea that crude could rise again to $40 a barrel was “a dream,” the UAE’s Suhail Al Mazrouei said during a conference call on Monday. That was before the OPEC+ alliance agreed unprecedented cuts in output.

Prices could return to “normal” within a year or two as curbs approaching 10 million barrels a day drain excess barrels from the market, Mazrouei said during the call hosted by the Atlantic Council, a Washington-based research institute.

“We have seen very good signs of demand picking up,” Mazrouei said. “We have seen numbers of driving vehicles are picking up,” he said, citing demand growth in China, India and Europe.

Still, the direction of oil prices will hinge to a large extent on whether a second round of infections forces economies into lockdowns once again, he said.

“Are we going to have a second wave or not?” he said. “I hope not. I hope we’re not going to limit travel and we will go back to at least a consumption level that is reasonable. Now we are back to the consumption level of 2013, believe it or not.

Mazrouei didn’t specify what he meant by “normal” prices. However, benchmark Brent crude averaged about $64 a barrel last year. OPEC+ producers negotiated cuts in April to counter the pandemic’s impact and this month extended the reductions through July.

Led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, the group aims to support a rally that’s seen Brent more than double to around $40 a barrel since late April, paring its loss this year to 40%. For that success to continue, all OPEC+ members must adhere to their production quotas, while other suppliers must refrain from resuming output too quickly, Mazrouei said.

“In previous deals we had countries cheat because there was no rule. Now there is a rule, so countries are coming and stating their commitments,” Mazrouei said. The OPEC+ agreement has effectively created a “permanent” group of nations -- one bigger than the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries -- that will coordinate to manage crude markets, he said.