據今日油價網站6月17日消息 歐佩克周三在月度石油市場報告（MOMR）中表示，今年下半年，全球石油需求將從第二季度的崩潰中開始復蘇，但由于對燃料的需求將繼續受到疫情和遏制措施的制約，下半年的石油需求仍將比去年同期水平下降640萬桶/天。

根據歐佩克的數據，今年下半年全球石油需求的損失將放緩至640萬桶/天，而上半年預計將下降1190萬桶/天。

歐佩克將2020年全年全球石油需求預測保持不變，為下降910萬桶/天。

歐佩克表示，盡管封鎖措施持續放松，但預計今年下半年交通燃料仍將承壓。預計航空燃料將繼續面臨挑戰，因為預計國內和國際航班只會緩慢復蘇，而遠程工作/電話會議限制商務旅行。

此外，歐佩克表示，由于美國失業率居高不下、通勤減少，汽油消費也將受到影響，而全球制造業的疲軟將對工業燃料造成影響。

歐佩克目前預計，今年原油需求為2360萬桶/天，較上月的預估下調70萬桶/天。與2019年相比，今年對歐佩克原油的需求預計將下降580萬桶/天。

據歐佩克二級消息來源顯示，歐佩克5月份原油產量高于該組織對原油需求的預期，為2419萬桶/天，歐佩克原油產量較4月份下降630萬桶/天。

沙特阿拉伯5月份削減了產量，達到規定的850萬桶/天的配額，其主要海灣合作伙伴科威特和阿聯酋也削減了產量，而伊拉克雖然削減了34萬桶/天，達到416.5萬桶/天，但仍遠未達標。

王磊 摘譯自 今日油價

原文如下：

OPEC: Global Oil Demand To Drop By 6.4 Million Bpd In Second Half 2020

Global oil demand will start to recover in the second half of the year from the crash in the second quarter, but it will still be down by 6.4 million bpd in H2 from year-ago levels as demand for fuels will continue to be constrained by the coronavirus pandemic and the measures to contain it, OPEC said in its Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) on Wednesday.

According to the cartel, the loss in global oil demand will slow to 6.4 million bpd in the second half of the year, compared to an estimated decline of 11.9 million bpd in the first half of the year.

OPEC left its full-year 2020 global oil demand projection unchanged at a decline of 9.1 million bpd.

“Transportation fuels are forecast to remain under pressure in 2H20, despite ongoing easing in lockdown measures. Aviation fuel is expected to continue facing challenges, as national and international flights are anticipated to only slowly recover, while teleworking/teleconferencing restricting business travel,” OPEC said.

In addition, gasoline consumption will also suffer because of the high unemployment rate in the United States and reduced commuting, while industrial fuels will be impacted by weaker manufacturing around the world, the cartel said.

OPEC now sees demand for its crude at 23.6 million bpd this year, revised down by 700,000 bpd from the previous month’s estimates. This year’s demand for OPEC crude is expected to be down by 5.8 million bpd compared to 2019.

OPEC’s crude oil production in May was higher than the cartel’s expectations for demand for its crude—at 24.19 million bpd, OPEC’s crude oil production dropped by 6.3 million bpd from April, as per OPEC’s secondary sources.

Saudi Arabia slashed in May its production to the required 8.5 million bpd quota, and so did its key Gulf partners Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), while Iraq, while cutting production by 340,000 bpd to 4.165 million bpd, was still way off the mark.