據土耳其新聞社6月22日消息稱，根據牛津能源研究所(OIES)的最新報告，由于溫和氣溫的連續影響、發電領域的高可再生能源以及COVID-19的后果的相繼影響，2020年前5個月，歐洲的天然氣需求同比下降了約8%，即190億立方米。

報告稱：“2020年前5個月，發電量同比下降6.6%，但與此同時，可再生能源占比從2019年同期的37%上升到43，其中水電和風能是主要的貢獻者，分別為18%和17%。

該報告進一步指出，在這些情況下，其他燃料幾乎沒有發展空間，核能發電量下降了11%，天然氣下降了13%，煤炭下降了28%。

需求降幅最大的是法國和意大利，分別下降13.2%和11.5%;波蘭的需求小幅增長2%，主要是由于其電力部門改用煤制氣。

報告稱，德國天然氣發電量增長了3%，波蘭增長了9%，荷蘭可能增長了10%，而在兩種燃料完全不能轉換的國家，天然氣發電量下降了。

報告稱：“英國下降了31%，法國下降了18%，意大利下降了13%，比利時下降了7%。”

它補充說，在西班牙，今年前五個月的發電天然氣需求與去年同期相比下降了約11%，為58億立方米左右。

該機構預測，英國的降幅最大，為34億立方米，意大利為13億立方米，西班牙為8億立方米。

曹海斌 摘譯自 土耳其新聞社

原文如下：

Europe gas demand down 8% in 1st 5 months of 2020

Natural gas demand in Europe has declined year-on-year by about 8% or 19 billion cubic meters (bcm) in the first five months of 2020 due to the successive impact of mild temperatures, high renewables in power generation and the consequences of COVID-19, according to Oxford Institute for Energy Studies’ (OIES) latest report.

“In the first five months of 2020, power generation was down by 6.6% year on year, while at the same time, the share of renewable generation increased to 43%, up from 37% over the same period in 2019, with hydro and wind as the main contributors, at 18% and 17% respectively,” the report said.

It further detailed that these circumstances have left little room for other fuels with nuclear generation down by 11%, gas by 13% and coal by 28%.

The sharpest decline in demand was seen in France with a 13.2% drop and in Italy with an 11.5% fall while Poland registered a small increase of 2% as a result of coal-to-gas switching in its power sector.

The report said gas generation was up by 3% in Germany, 9% in Poland and potentially by 10% in the Netherlands while in countries with limited to no possibility of switching between the two fuels, gas generation decreased.

“In the UK, it collapsed by 31%, in France, it was down by 18%, in Italy by 13% and in Belgium by 7%,” it said.

It added that in Spain, gas demand for electricity generation was down by about 11% to around 5.8 bcm in the first five months of the year compared to the same period last year.

The institute forecast that the largest decline in volume is expected in the UK with a 3.4 bcm fall, Italy with a 1.3 bcm slide and Spain with a 0.8 bcm drop.