據路透社7月24日報道，受美元走弱的推動，周五油價上漲，但冠狀病毒病例增加，對需求的擔憂限制了石油價格。

美元兌一籃子貨幣下滑，跌至22個月來的低點。美元走軟通常會刺激對石油等以美元計價的大宗商品的購買，因為這些商品對持有其他貨幣的人來說會變得更便宜。

格林尼治標準時間04：46，布倫特原油價格上漲21美分，漲幅為0.5%，至每桶43.52美元。美國西德克薩斯中質原油價格上漲12美分，漲幅為0.3%，至每桶41.19美元。

OANDA駐紐約高級市場分析師Edward Moya表示："原油價格正試圖企穩，因市場對國會將成功為美國提供另一個疫情救助方案的預期仍然很高。此前公布的美國經濟數據顯示，美國經濟復蘇步履維艱，這幾乎可以肯定，聯邦政府會提供更多援助?！?/span>

上周，美國申請失業救濟人數意外上升至141.6萬人，為近四個月來新高，這表明美國經濟復蘇因新冠肺炎病例再度爆發而陷入停滯。

調查顯示，美國經濟前景在過去一個月愈發黯淡，部分州因冠狀病毒病例激增而再度封鎖。分析師警告稱，正在進行的就業復蘇很有可能在年底逆轉。

巴克萊大宗商品研究公司（Barclays Commodities Research）表示，如果燃料需求復蘇進一步放緩，油價近期可能出現回調，尤其是在美國。

該行將2020年的石油市場盈余預期從此前的350萬桶/天下調至250萬桶/天。

王佳晶 摘譯自 路透社

原文如下：

Oil rises on weaker dollar, but demand threats check gains

Oil prices rose on Friday on the back of a weaker U.S. dollar, although demand concerns stemming from rising coronavirus cases and escalating U.S.-China tensions kept a cap on prices.

The dollar slid to 22-month lows against a basket of currencies .DXY. A weaker dollar usually spurs buying of commodities priced in the greenback, like oil, because they become cheaper for holders of other currencies.

Brent crude LCOc1 rose 21 cents, or 0.5%, to $43.52 a barrel by 0446 GMT, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 rose by 12 cents, or 0.3%, to $41.19.

“Crude prices are attempting to stabilize as expectations still remain high that Congress will be successful in delivering another pandemic relief package” for the United States, said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York.

“Yesterday’s U.S. economic data showed that the economic recovery is struggling and pretty much guarantees more federal aid is coming.”

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits unexpectedly rose to 1.416 million last week for the first time in nearly four months, suggesting U.S. economic recovery is stalling amid a resurgence in COVID-19 cases.

The U.S. economic outlook has darkened in the past month amid renewed lockdowns in some states from surging coronavirus cases, according to economists in a Reuters poll who warned of a high risk the job recovery underway reverses by year-end.

Barclays Commodities Research has said oil prices could see a correction in the near term if a recovery in fuel demand slows further, especially in the United States.

The bank lowered its oil market surplus forecast for 2020 to an average 2.5 million barrels-per-day (bpd), from 3.5 million bpd previously.