據(jù)今日石油2020年8月5日?qǐng)?bào)道，美國跨國投資銀行和金融服務(wù)公司摩根士丹利表示，對(duì)蘇里南第58號(hào)區(qū)塊建模顯示，第58號(hào)區(qū)塊潛在油氣儲(chǔ)量高達(dá)65億桶油當(dāng)量，該區(qū)塊可分7個(gè)階段開發(fā)，蘇里南目標(biāo)是在2026年開采出第一批石油。

美國阿帕奇公司在蘇里南海上獲得的第3個(gè)也是最大的一個(gè)發(fā)現(xiàn)Kwaskwasi-1井在鉆進(jìn)過程中在兩個(gè)層段內(nèi)鉆遇了至少278米厚的純石油和揮發(fā)油/凝析油地層，其中坎帕階層段內(nèi)鉆遇了63米厚的純石油地層和86米厚的純揮發(fā)油/凝析油地層，而在桑托價(jià)層段中鉆遇了129米厚的純油氣層。

摩根士丹利在一份研究報(bào)告中表示， “我們的蘇里南模型說明了APA的 [阿帕奇] 第58區(qū)塊的潛在價(jià)值。我們模擬了7個(gè)階段開發(fā)的65億桶油當(dāng)量(59億桶石油)。我們預(yù)測(cè)第58號(hào)區(qū)塊將在2026年開采出首批石油，此后來自每個(gè)連續(xù)階段的石油產(chǎn)量將逐年遞增。

摩根士丹利進(jìn)一步表示，“我們預(yù)計(jì)第58號(hào)區(qū)塊第一階段是一個(gè)較小的開發(fā)，其產(chǎn)量為5億桶油當(dāng)量(4.5億桶石油)，浮式產(chǎn)油儲(chǔ)油和卸油(FPSO)裝置的日產(chǎn)能為12萬桶。對(duì)于接下來的每個(gè)階段，我們?cè)O(shè)想有10億桶油當(dāng)量（9億桶石油)的產(chǎn)量，而FPSO的日產(chǎn)能為22萬桶。“

摩根士丹利表示，蘇里南第58區(qū)塊的開發(fā)節(jié)奏是由美國石油巨頭埃克森美孚公司在圭亞那海上斯塔布魯克區(qū)塊的計(jì)劃決定的，埃克森美孚公司在去年12月開始位于斯塔布魯克區(qū)塊的麗莎大油田一期項(xiàng)目的石油生產(chǎn)，最高日產(chǎn)能為12萬桶。埃克森美孚公司預(yù)計(jì)，到2026年前，在斯塔布魯克區(qū)塊的5個(gè)開發(fā)項(xiàng)目的石油日產(chǎn)量將增至75萬桶以上。到目前為止，埃克森美孚公司已經(jīng)在斯塔布魯克區(qū)塊內(nèi)發(fā)現(xiàn)了超過80億桶油當(dāng)量的資源。

李峻 編譯自 今日石油

原文如下：

Suriname’s Block 58 could hold 6.5 billion barrels of oil – Morgan Stanley

US multinational investment bank and financial services company Morgan Stanley says its modelling of Suriname’s Block 58 shows that it contains a potential 6.5 billion barrels of oil equivalent resources which can be developed across seven phases with first oil targeted for 2026.

Kwaskwasi-1, Apache’s third and largest discovery offshore Suriname, encountered at least 278 meters of net oil and volatile oil/gas condensate pay across two intervals – Campanian – 63 meters of net oil pay and 86 meters of net volatile oil/gas condensate pay, and Santonian – 129 meters of net hydrocarbon pay.

“Our Suriname model illustrates potential value of APA’s [Apache] Block 58. We model 6.5 Bboe (5.9 Bbbl of oil) developed across 7 phases (MSe net asset value for APA ascribes 3 Bboe). We forecast first oil occurs in 2026, with production from each successive phase commencing in one-year increments thereafter,” the bank said in a research paper

“We assume the first phase is a smaller development of 500 MMBoe (450 MMbbls of oil) with floating production storage and offloading (FPSO) unit capacity of 120 Mbbl/d. For each following phase, we assume 1 BBoe (900 MMbbls of oil) of resource with FPSO capacity of 220 Mbbl/d,” Morgan Stanley further stated.

It said the development cadence for Block 58 is informed by US oil major ExxonMobil’s plans in the Stabroek Block offshore Guyana, where it began producing oil last December at the Liza Phase 1 Development which has a peak capacity of 120,000 bpd. Exxon expects to ramp up production to over 750,000 bpd by 2026 across 5 developments at Stabroek Block. The company has so far found more than 8 billion barrels of oil equivalent resources on the block.