據ICIS網站9月10日消息 國際能源機構（IEA）周四表示，塑料回收利用的發展以及氫等清潔能源開發的推動下，加之液體燃料需求的潛在下降，可能會限制未來幾十年的甲醇需求。

IEA補充稱，只有在對這些改革的承諾依然堅定的情況下，這一目標才能實現。

甲醇是化學品和燃料生產的關鍵中間體，預計在未來很長一段時間內，其需求將繼續持續增長。

然而，根據IEA可持續發展設想（該機構為世界在2070年前實現凈零排放制定的路線圖）消費可能在2040年代中期達到峰值。

據IEA稱，推動甲醇需求見頂的主要因素將是塑料回收行業的增長，以及隨著電動汽車（EV）行業和清潔氫動力的持續增長，運輸行業液體燃料的使用量減少。

總部設在巴黎的該機構在周四發布的《能源技術展望》報告中稱：“塑料回收利用的增加減少了甲醇生產的需求。”

燃料應用占甲醇產量的三分之一左右，在該機構的可持續發展設想下，液態燃料的使用將在這段時間內基本絕跡。

王磊 摘譯自 ICIS

原文如下：

Growth of plastics recycling could help cap methanol demand – IEA

The development of plastics recycling and the potential drop in liquid fuels demand on the back of the development of clean energy sources such as hydrogen could cap methanol demand in the next decades, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday.

This would only be achieved if commitment to those reforms remains strong, it added.

Demand for methanol, a key intermediate in chemicals and fuels production, had been expected to continue to grow continuously well into the future.

However, under the IEA’s sustainable development scenario - a roadmap developed by the agency for the world to reach net-zero emissions by 2070 – consumption could peak in the mid-2040s.

The key drivers for methanol demand to peak would be the growth of the plastics recycling sector and reduced usage of liquid fuels in the transport sector as the electric vehicle (EV) sector and clean hydrogen power continue to grow, according to the IEA.

“Additional plastic recycling reduces the need for methanol production,” the Paris-headquartered agency said in its energy technology perspectives report, released on Thursday.

Fuel applications account for around a third of methanol production, and under the agency’s sustainable development scenario, liquid fuel use would be largely extinct under that timeline.