據(jù)海事新聞9月16日消息稱，一位行業(yè)高管在周三的一次會(huì)議上表示，由于新冠病毒大流行對(duì)全球貿(mào)易的影響，全球?qū)Υ萌剂系男枨箢A(yù)計(jì)將下降多達(dá)17％，這為船用燃料供應(yīng)商之間的進(jìn)一步整合提供了條件。

國際燃油工業(yè)協(xié)會(huì)（IBIA）負(fù)責(zé)人Unni Einemo表示，企業(yè)面臨著需求低、利潤率低、供應(yīng)過剩、對(duì)手風(fēng)險(xiǎn)增加和融資渠道受限的困境。

Einemo在會(huì)議上說：“因此，我們可能期望通過并購或關(guān)停企業(yè)來進(jìn)一步整合。”他補(bǔ)充說，一些公司可能被迫退出市場。

Einemo表示:“盡管(4月和5月)全球燃油需求保持良好，但預(yù)計(jì)2020年全球燃油需求將大幅下降。”

她說，IBIA的成員預(yù)計(jì)2020年全球船用燃料需求將下降7%-17%。

據(jù)估計(jì)，全球海洋航運(yùn)燃料需求約為每年3億噸，即約520萬桶/天。

國際能源署在周二發(fā)布的最新報(bào)告中稱，“到2020年，包括船用燃料油、發(fā)電和工業(yè)用途在內(nèi)的燃料油需求預(yù)計(jì)僅會(huì)減少40萬桶/天，降幅6.3%。”

相比之下，據(jù)國際能源署預(yù)測，到2020年，包括航空燃油、柴油和汽油在內(nèi)的優(yōu)質(zhì)運(yùn)輸燃料的需求將減少約740萬桶/天，降幅約11.6%。

曹海斌 摘譯自 海事新聞

原文如下：

Global Demand for Marine Fuels to Fall by Up To 17%

Global demand for marine fuels is expected to fall by up to 17% due to the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on world trade, setting the stage for more consolidation among bunker suppliers, an industry executive told a conference on Wednesday.

Unni Einemo, director of the International Bunker Industry Association (IBIA), said firms were contending with low demand, low margins, ample supplies, increased counter-party risk, and constrained access to capital.

"Because of that we might expect further consolidation through mergers and acquisitions or attrition," Einemo told the conference, adding that some firms could be forced to quit the market.

"Global bunker demand is expected to decrease significantly in 2020, even if it had held up quite well (in April and May)," Einemo said.

IBIA's members forecast a 7%-17% drop in bunker fuel demand globally in 2020, she said.

Global marine fuel demand is estimated at about 300 million tonnes per annum, or about 5.2 million barrels per day (mbpd).

In its latest report released on Tuesday, the International Energy Agency said "fuel oil demand, which includes marine bunker as well as power generation and industrial uses, is forecast to decline by only 0.4 mbpd, or 6.3% in 2020," the IEA said in its monthly report on Tuesday.

By comparison, premium transport fuels which include jet fuel, diesel and gasoline, are forecast to have lost about 7.4 mbpd, or 11.6%, of demand in 2020, according to the IEA.